Bitcoin Price Prediction Soars to $250,000 by End of 2025: Hayes’ Analysis Hinges on US Fed’s QE Pivot

In a bold prediction, Arthur Hayes, the co-founder of BitMEX and Maelstrom CIO, has set his sights on a massive surge in Bitcoin’s price. According to Hayes, the cryptocurrency could hit $250,000 by the end of 2025, contingent on a pivot by the U.S. Federal Reserve towards quantitative easing (QE). Here’s a closer look at his analysis and what it means for the future of Bitcoin.

BitMEX Co-founder Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin to Hit $250,000 If US Fed Pivots to QE

Arthur Hayes, the co-founder of BitMEX and Maelstrom CIO, has predicted that Bitcoin could reach $250,000 by the end of 2025 if the U.S. Federal Reserve pivots to quantitative easing (QE). Hayes shared his analysis in an April 1 Substack post titled “The BBC,” stating that Bitcoin’s market behavior is largely influenced by expectations surrounding fiat liquidity. Hayes believes that the cryptocurrency’s future hinges on the Fed’s policy shift, specifically its bond buying and rate changes. However, most traders remain cautious, predicting a smaller price increase for Bitcoin.

Public Companies Hold Significant Amount of Bitcoin

Publicly traded businesses are continually buying Bitcoin (BTC) to demonstrate its emerging significance as a corporate treasury reserve asset. According to data from April 2, 2025, public firms possess 691,910 BTC, which currently holds a total market value of $58.36 billion. This represents 3.29% of the total available Bitcoin tokens in circulation. Leading companies such as MicroStrategy are significant investors in Bitcoin, expanding their holdings and solidifying cryptocurrency’s role in traditional financial markets.

Sen. Ted Cruz Introduces FLARE Act on Bitcoin Mining

Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) introduced the Facilitating Lower Atmospheric Released Emissions (FLARE) Act on Tuesday. The bill aims to convert idle natural gas into power for crypto mining, particularly Bitcoin. It offers tax incentives to encourage energy reuse in digital operations. Critics have raised questions about how these new practices may affect local energy distribution. The measure effectively connects energy policy with the digital asset market, seeking to reduce emissions by utilizing stranded natural gas to power digital asset mining centers.

Bitcoin Enters Accumulation Phase

Bitcoin is currently holding above the $81,000 level but struggles to reclaim the $86,000 mark due to macroeconomic uncertainty and escalating trade war fears. Global markets remain fragile, pressuring high-risk assets like Bitcoin. Despite critical support, traders remain cautious, and sentiment is subdued. Top analyst Axel Adler highlights a potentially important signal as the average funding rate on Binance, ByBit, OKX, and Deribit has recently dropped into negative territory.

Grayscale Launches Two Bitcoin Income ETFs to Monetize Volatility

Grayscale has introduced two exchange-traded funds structured to deliver income by writing options on Bitcoin-linked products. The Grayscale Bitcoin Covered Call ETF (BTCC) will write near-the-money call options on Bitcoin ETPs, including the firm’s GBTC and BTC funds. This strategy aims to prioritize regular income over long-term exposure to Bitcoin’s price movements. The launch signals how volatility in crypto markets is being treated less as a hazard and more as a utility.